Russia learned the wrong lessons from previous wars

 From David Volodzko / Daily Beast, The Embarassing Truth Behind Putin's War Failures:

"Russia has been forced, humiliatingly, to withdraw some 40,000 troops from around Kyiv and Chernihiv, having failed to make any significant progress in those regions—falling back to their old targets in eastern Ukraine. This raises the question of exactly what the Kremlin learned in Syria and, more importantly, what it should have learned but obviously has not...

Some of the lessons that were not learned well enough include use of drones for artillery spotting, the danger of MANPADS on the contested battlefield, and the need for secure supply lines. Each of these factors has proven devastating for Russian forces in Ukraine...

Russia learned a few more things in Syria. Namely, how to destroy cities, terror tactics to make civilians flee, and the use of proxies as holding forces/cannon fodder.

So what went wrong? For one thing, Russia is one of the most corrupt nations in the world, and by far the most corrupt major power. Ruling a mafia state has its advantages if you’re the Godfather, but it’s hard to know whom to trust. Moscow recently purged 150 Federal Security Service (FSB) agents and sent Sergei Beseda, the head of the FSB’s 5th Service, which handles intelligence in Ukraine, to Lefortovo Prison, which was used under Stalin to conduct torture-based interrogations and mass executions. One theory says Beseda gave information to the CIA, but the official reason, which may very well be true, is that he lied to the state and stole funds meant for espionage activities in Ukraine. If true, this means Putin’s own spy chiefs not only let him bring a knife to a gun fight—they sold off the combat blade and bought a cheap butter spreader...

Russian communications are very lowbrow, and they are using unencrypted mobile phones in Ukraine, a bad habit picked up in Syria, where few opponents could understand Russian or had the technical competence to intercept...

One thing’s for certain, Russia looked at Ukraine and mistook a tiger for a cat. Now even if it decides to cut its losses and completely withdraw, it may not be so easy. As the old Chinese saying goes, when you’re riding a tiger, the hard part is getting off."

Bulgaria still refuses military aid to Ukraine

 From a yesterday's report by Tsvetelia Tsolova / Reuters:

"Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba appealed to NATO and EU member Bulgaria on Thursday to provide sorely needed military aid to help his country survive Russia's invasion.

Bulgaria has condemned the invasion, voted to support European Union sanctions against Russia and is hosting more than 90,000 Ukrainian refugees, but the four-party ruling coalition remains split over whether to send arms and ammunition to Kyiv.

Kuleba, who arrived in the Black Sea country on Tuesday, said he has still not received a clear answer from Sofia on military aid.

"The best way to bring peace closer today is to stand by Ukraine, not to stand neutral," Kuleba said in the Bulgarian parliament at the opening of a photo exhibition depicting the war in Ukraine.

"Sometimes you have to make a choice, you cannot be in between, you cannot come up with endless arguments. You have to take a side and you have to take the side of truth. So all I can say is it is time to make a choice," he said...

Prime Minister Kiril Petkov's centrist PP party has proposed a compromise of sending "technical assistance for defence purposes" to Ukraine... Kuleba dismissed the PP's compromise proposal.

"If you have a helmet and a bulletproof vest, but you do not have a gun in your hands, you are doomed. So this half-measure is nice politically, but basically the message is: 'We want you to die protected'," he said.

Thousands of people have died, cities and towns have been heavily bombarded and some 11 million people - about a quarter of Ukraine's population - displaced in the war since Russia launched its invasion on Feb. 24.

Bulgaria's parliament is expected to debate next week, after the Orthodox Easter weekend, how to support Ukraine further.

Bulgaria was Moscow's closest ally in eastern Europe in Communist times. It has retained important cultural, tourism and trade links and is still heavily reliant on Russian gas and oil."

"Wholesale destruction of civilian neighborhoods" by Russian military

 Scott Pelley, a correspondent and anchor at CBS News and 60 Minutes, to Jack Holmes:

"In Kyiv, we went all the way up into the northern suburbs yesterday, including Bucha and Irpin. And I'll tell you, Jack, in 40 years of covering wars, I have never seen such wholesale destruction of civilian neighborhoods, absolutely senseless. It could only have been done to kill the people. There's no military reason for it. 10-story apartment buildings, blown to bits, entire neighborhoods [destroyed]. I was talking to the residents about what happened to a very large 10-story apartment building that was completely a burned out shell. And they said it had been hit by a helicopter gunship that launched rockets into it.

"Behind a church, the St. Andrew's Orthodox church, we found a mass grave. The Russians had left and retreated in such haste that they didn't bother to bury the evidence. And so the grave was open, and there were a number of people in the grave, a number of bodies in the grave, all clearly civilian women and men, elderly men, just piled up there, just waiting for mercy, just waiting for someone at some point to lift them out of that trench that they were lying in and properly bury them."

Russian teacher betrayed by students faces jail for anti-war views

 From Matthew Loh / Business Insider through Yahoo!News:

 

"A Russian teacher is facing a prison sentence, and several others were fined or fired after their students reported them for making anti-war comments, BBC Russia first reported.

Irina Gen, 55, an English teacher in the western Russian city of Penza, was speaking to eighth-grade athletes who complained that they couldn't compete in international sporting events, per the BBC, who spoke with Gen's lawyer. Many sporting bodies, including the International Olympic Committee, banned Russia following the invasion of Ukraine.

Gen was recorded on March 18 telling the schoolgirls that she believed the West's decision was correct. "Until Russia starts behaving in a civilized way, this will go on forever," she said. "We are living in a totalitarian regime. Any dissent is considered a crime."

According to the BBC, she told the students that Russia intended to overthrow another nation's government and that Ukraine is a sovereign state.

The teacher received a call from Russia's federal security service five days later and was told by the authorities that they had received footage of her criticizing Moscow's direction, The Guardian reported.

Gen told The Guardian she had "no idea" she was being recorded. She said she told authorities she was "merely citing respected western outlets like AP and BBC," which she believed were professional and objective.

An excerpt of her conversation with the students was posted to the Russian Telegram channel Baza. Baza reported that the schoolgirls had disagreed with Gen and handed the recording to the law."

 

Reporting any words of disagreement with the party line to the authorities is a tradition in Russia, as it was in Bulgaria during communism. To Westerners, the incident may be reminiscent of the murder of French teacher Samuel Paty by an Islamist over blasphemous cartoons shown in the classroom.

Resume of Russian military activities around Kyiv

 Reporter Illia Ponomarenko: 

“Russians basically came to Kyiv with an unbelievably stupid and unrealistic plan, killed a lot of people, ruined a lot of homes, and sustained heavy casualties. No results, no reserves.

Now they just have to leave before they get slaughtered in a pocket northwest of Kyiv.”

Nevzorov: Let Putin steal lest he murders!

 From Amy Kellogg / Fox News, March 27:

"A case has been opened against Alexander Nevzorov for calling the bombing of a Ukrainian maternity hospital...the bombing of a Ukrainian maternity hospital.

 Russia's Investigative Committee accuses Nevzorov, a Russian journalist and former MP, of deliberately spreading false information about the event which happened in Mariupol, Ukraine earlier this month. Conviction for such a crime could carry fifteen years in prison...

Nevzorov is out of the country... Meantime, he has a wish for President Vladimir Putin.

"For God's sake, give him 100 more palaces, give him 500 more female gymnasts!" he says, gymnasts being a reference to Alina Kabaeva...

"Just," Nevzorov continued his train of thought, "so he will not carry out his schizophrenic schemes to become lord of the world. Let him play with such palaces, let him be engaged with his personal life, let him steal as much as he wants just to take his mind off his mania to murder."

...He said most average Russians don't grasp Putin's motivations.

"Our people are in an absolute zombie state, in an absolutely false and extremely grave state of mind," Nevzorov said. "And Putin has the ability to constantly feed on this state... They want to remain trapped by propaganda.""