Monday, February 17, 2025

Russia claims that Ukraine is not a real state

 From the Institute for the Study of War:

"The Kremlin officially reiterated its claim that Ukraine has no sovereignty, setting conditions for Moscow to claim that Ukraine has no standing to negotiate with Russia or that any agreements reached with Ukraine in the future are invalid. Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov claimed on February 16 that Russia has adjusted its approach to potential talks with Ukraine because Ukraine allegedly has a "deficit" of sovereignty.[23] Peskov claimed that Ukraine's decision to not sign the peace agreement that Russia and Ukraine were discussing in Spring 2022 in Istanbul shows that Russia cannot trust Ukraine's word. Ukraine and Russia had not finalized a peace deal in Istanbul in 2022.[24] Kremlin officials have repeatedly claimed that the West forced Ukraine to walk away from the Istanbul deal and that Ukraine thus lacks sovereignty. Peskov also continued longstanding Kremlin efforts to place the blame for Russia's full-scale invasion on Ukraine, claiming that Ukraine would "be intact," that the Ukrainian government would not have "abused" Russians in eastern Ukraine, that there would have been no "civil war," and that Russians in eastern Ukraine would have had "no desire...to separate from Ukraine" had Ukraine fulfilled the terms of the Minsk agreements.[25] The Minsk agreements were notably extremely favorable to Russia, placing no obligations on Moscow, yet Russian proxies continually violated the accords with Russian support.[26] Kremlin-controlled state media used a February 15 interview with Kremlin-affiliated former Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada Deputy Viktor Medvedchuk to reiterate the Kremlin's false narrative about Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky's illegitimacy.[27]

Medvedchuk's interview and Peskov's February 16 statements continue to cast doubt on Moscow's willingness to negotiate in good faith about a settlement of the war and set informational conditions for Russia to violate any agreement reached on the grounds that the Ukrainian government had no legal right to conclude it.[28]"

[23] https://ria dot ru/20250216/peskov-1999672566.html

[24] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/06/15/world/europe/ukraine-russia-ceasefire-deal.html;

[25] https://tass dot ru/politika/23155167

[26] https://understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Minsk%20Revised%2C%20February%2011%2C%202025%20final%20PDF.pdf; https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-22-2024; https://isw.pub/UkrWar121924

[27] https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-february-15-2025

[28] https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-february-15-2025

Sunday, February 16, 2025

For US Vice-President J. D. Vance, the enemy is not Russia and not China but Europe

 From CNN:

"Vance turns on European allies in blistering speech that downplayed threats from Russia and China 

Munich, Germany CNN  — US Vice President JD Vance vented at European leaders Friday, telling them that the biggest threat to their security was “from within,” rather than China and Russia.

Vance used his first major speech as vice president to lambast European politicians, claiming they are suppressing free speech, losing control of immigration and refusing to work with hard-right parties in government.

The audience at the Munich Security Conference was expecting to hear about the Trump administration’s plans to end the war in Ukraine, but instead were treated to a bombastic rejection of liberal orthodoxies that have prevailed in Western Europe since the Second World War, in a speech that downplayed the threats to the continent posed by Russia and China.

“The threat that I worry most about vis-a-vis Europe is not Russia, not China, it’s not any other external actor. What I worry about is the threat from within, the retreat of Europe from some of its most fundamental values,” Vance told a stone-faced audience...

“If American democracy can survive 10 years of Greta Thunberg scolding, you guys can survive a few months of Elon Musk,” he said...

Trump’s early moves – including threats of retaliatory tariffs, a pullback in international aid and an improbable overture to acquire Greenland, the autonomous Danish territory – have increasingly concerned America’s allies. Compounding tensions, Elon Musk, the tech billionaire and prominent Trump ally, has amplified far-right movements across Europe without facing public reproach from the White House...

Some anticipated Vance to address the administration’s position on the path to a Russia-Ukraine settlement. Instead, he delivered a jarring blow.

Vance listed a string of what he cast as an oppressive European responses to political expression, from the United Kingdom arresting a man for praying near an abortion clinic to Sweden convicting an anti-Islam campaigner for burning Korans in public.

While many had expected the vice president to echo Hegseth’s calls for European countries to hike their defense spending as a precondition for continued American support, Vance’s message was blunter: “If you are running in fear of your own voters, there is nothing America can do for you.”

Strikingly, Vance compared today’s democratically elected European leaders to the tyrants that led swaths of the continent during the Cold War.

He zeroed in on a decision by Romania’s constitutional court to cancel the country’s presidential election last year, after its intelligence service uncovered a campaign “coordinated by a state actor” to help elect Calin Georgescu, an ultranationalist virtually unknown before the election who unexpectedly won the first-round vote.

“When we see European courts canceling elections and senior officials threatening to cancel others, we need to ask whether we’re holding ourselves to an appropriately high standard,” Vance said.

Vance asked “what happened to some of the Cold War’s winners,” suggesting they had abandoned the values that allied them to prevail against “tyrannical forces” on the continent.

Notably, Vance did not criticize countries like Russia and Belarus, which have been ruled by the same leaders for decades and allow only stage-managed elections...

Asked to respond to Vance’s remarks later Friday, Trump said he believed they were “brilliant” and “well received.”

“And I think it’s true, in Europe, they’re losing their wonderful right of freedom of speech,” Trump said."

***

If these two weird fellows had any intelligence, common sense or compassion, they would know that, first, no one country can have a perfect democracy during a war that poses an existential threat, and second, that the cancel culture they are complaining of was imported to Europe from the USA, where it went to bizarre extremes until the American voters, driven by desperation, elected this off-the-wall tandem to deal with it.



Commemoration rally for Navalny in Sofia, Bulgaria

The event marking the 1st anniversary of the murder of Russian opposition leader and freedom fighter Alexey Navalny took place today in front of the Russian embassy. Russian expatriates and Bulgarian sympathizers attended a 2-hour vigil in front of a makeshift memorial.


 


Alex Stotzky from "For Free Russia" has a video:


Trump is bullying Ukraine to give its mineral riches for nothing

 CBS / Yahoo!News:

Trump says Ukraine "may be Russian someday," as he eyes mineral wealth

Frank Andrews, Anhelina Shamlii
 

President Trump has suggested that Ukraine "may be Russian someday," in an interview aired just days before Vice President JD Vance is set to meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at a security summit in Germany.

"They may make a deal, they may not make a deal. They may be Russian someday, or they may not be Russian someday," Mr. Trump, who repeatedly claimed before taking office for his second term that he would quickly end the war launched almost three years ago by Russia. He made the remarks in a portion of an interview with Fox News that was broadcast on Monday.

Ukraine and many of its European partners have worried that Mr. Trump could try to make good on his vows by pressuring Zelenskyy into a ceasefire agreement with Russia that allows Moscow to maintain control over some of the roughly 25% of Ukrainian territory Vladimir Putin's forces have occupied...

In response to Mr. Trump's comments, the Kremlin said Tuesday that the situation in Ukraine "largely corresponds to President Trump's words."

"The fact that a significant part of Ukraine wants to become Russia, and has already, is a fact," spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters in an apparent reference to Moscow's unilateral declaration in September 2022 that four occupied regions in southeast Ukraine had been annexed...

President Trump has suggested that future American military aid to Ukraine could be dependent on Kyiv committing to a trade agreement that grants U.S. access to its rare earth minerals. He has framed the idea as a return on the U.S. investment made in backing Ukraine's defensive efforts — aid which has already amounted to more than $65 billion.

"We are going to have all this money in there, and I say I want it back. And I told them that I want the equivalent, like $500 billion worth of rare earth," Mr. Trump said Monday. "They have essentially agreed to do that, so at least we don't feel stupid.""

***

Now, the AP continues the story: 

"US presented Ukraine with a document to access its minerals but offered almost nothing in return

Ukraine has vast reserves of critical minerals that are used in the aerospace, defense and nuclear industries. The Trump administration has indicated it is interested in accessing them to reduce dependence on China but Zelenskyy said any exploitation would need to be tied to security guarantees for Ukraine that would deter future Russian aggression.

“For me is very important the connection between some kind of security guarantees and some kind of investment,” the Ukrainian president said.

Zelenskyy did not go into details about why he instructed his officials not to sign the document, which was given to Ukrainian officials on Wednesday by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassent on a visit to Kyiv.

“It’s a colonial agreement and Zelenskyy cannot sign it,” the former senior official said.

White House National Security Council spokesman Brian Hughes did not explicitly confirm the offer, but said in a statement that “President Zelenskyy is being short-sighted about the excellent opportunity the Trump administration has presented to Ukraine.”

The Trump administration has grown weary of sending additional U.S. aid to Ukraine and Hughes said a minerals deal would allow American taxpayers to “recoup” money sent to Kyiv, while growing Ukraine’s economy.

Hughes added that the White House believes “binding economic ties with the United States will be the best guarantee against future aggression and an integral part of lasting peace.” He added: “The U.S. recognizes this, the Russians recognize this, and the Ukrainians must recognize this.”

U.S. officials in discussions with their Ukrainian counterparts in Munich were commercially minded and largely concentrated on the specifics of exploring the minerals and how to form a possible partnership to do that with Ukraine, the senior official said.

The potential value of the deposits in Ukraine has not yet been discussed, with much unexplored or close to the front line.

The U.S. proposal apparently did not take into account how the deposits would be secured in the event of continuing Russian aggression. The official suggested the U.S. did not have “ready answers,” to that question and that one of their takeaways from discussions in Munich will be how to secure any mineral extraction operation in Ukraine involving people and infrastructure.

Any deal must be in accordance with Ukrainian law and acceptable to the Ukrainian people, the senior Ukrainian official said.

“Subsoil belongs to Ukrainians under the Constitution,” Kseniiia Orynchak, founder of the National Association of Mining Industry of Ukraine, previously told the AP, suggesting a deal would need popular support..."

***

And finally, some food for thought from CNN:

"Putin has waited for this moment for 3 years, as Zelensky is left in the cold

Analysis by Nick Paton Walsh, CNN
 

...Zelensky... had hoped to meet US President Donald Trump in person to discuss a wide-ranging vision of peace, after the US president suggested Friday they might meet imminently, and his team immediately set about trying to schedule it. Instead he was presented with what Zelenksy called “serious people” – and a largely financial deal handed over by Bessent, the US billionaire turned money-man, which he didn’t sign.

It was during Bessent’s brief visit that news broke Trump had been busy elsewhere: holding perhaps his second phone call in recent days with Russian President Vladimir Putin... This time, the exchange had been sweetened by the unexpected release Tuesday of American prisoner Marc Fogel from Russian custody. Trump greeted the released 61-year-old wrapped in the Stars and Stripes, providing a perfect televised moment of rehabilitation for the Kremlin in the eyes of ordinary Americans. Why not make a decent deal with Moscow if they’re just good guys sending our guys home?...

We simply do not know the details of what Trump and Putin spoke about. But we can be sure the Kremlin head has waited for this moment for three years – yearning for the time when his grotesque tolerance of hundreds of Russian daily dead can be converted into a crack in Western unity, or NATO’s European members being told by their American guarantor they are on their own.

Trump and Putin set the tone it seems, and Zelensky got the post-brief. Trump even gloated that Putin had used his campaign slogan of “common sense,” suggesting the Kremlin head continues to study his adversary carefully to flatter. Trump ended his second post about his call with Zelensky with the remarkable switcheroo of “God bless the people of Russia and Ukraine!”

Hours earlier, Zelensky’s hopes over the key tenets of a peace deal had been torn up by new US Secretary of Defense Peter Hegseth. Ukraine will not be part of NATO. Ukraine will never return to its 2014 borders. Any peacekeeping forces between Russia and Ukraine will not be American, but European or non-European. Europe must look after itself... Zelensky had openly demanded... that Americans be involved with peacekeeping, as security guarantees without America were “worthless.” Hegseth was swift to burst that bubble, fanciful as the notion was that the US would insert its men and women as prime targets in the most brutal battlefield on earth.

Instead, we are seeing the bones of a peace plan emerge in public that is close to one posited by retired Gen. Keith Kellogg back in April, when he was a private citizen and not presidential envoy to Ukraine and Russia. Kellogg suggested a peacekeeping force manned by Europeans. He said Ukraine should give up on NATO membership. He proposed a ceasefire (and has since in interviews suggested elections might then follow in Ukraine). And importantly, he said Ukrainian aid should be turned into loans that Kyiv would one day repay. Perhaps this formed part of Bessent’s proposal to Zelensky on Wednesday.

Rare earth minerals were discussed in Kyiv on Wednesday too, although this is not necessarily great news based on precedent. When Trump was briefly enticed to support Afghanistan in 2017 because of its purported trillion dollars’ worth of minerals, he regardless signed a deal with the Taliban to let them take over just over two years later."

(Emphasis mine - M. M.)

Saturday, February 15, 2025

Hegseth press conference: spot-on questions, inadequate answers

The quotes below are from journalists at the Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth Press Conference Following NATO Ministers of Defense Meeting in Brussels on Feb. 13. They are journalists' questions which are adequate. Hegseth's answers are long and meaningless, therefore I am not including them; you can find them in the source by following the above link, if you wish.

"Liz Frieden:  Thank you, Secretary Hegseth. You have focused on what Ukraine is giving up. What concessions will Putin be asked to make?... Why not invoke article five then for the NATO peacekeeping forces that could potentially be deployed? Like, how does that deter President Putin?

Zach Basu:  Thank you, Mr. Secretary. Given the position you've now staked out, what leverage exactly is Ukraine being left with, especially if the US also plans to wind down its military aid? And then quickly, if a NATO ally is attacked by Russia or any country, will the US unequivocally uphold its obligations under article five regardless of that country's —

Max Delaney:  Thank you very much, Secretary of Defense. Can you — you've spoken about trying to force both Putin and Zelenskyy to the table. Can you give a guarantee that no deal will be forced on Ukraine that they do not want to accept? And also, that you will include Europe in the negotiations about their own — about an issue that concerns European security? And can you tell us whether the US will continue to supply arms to Ukraine during any negotiations?

Thomas Gutschker: Good afternoon. Mr. Secretary, two questions, please. The first one regarding the new Defense Investment Pledge. When you and President Trump speak about raising it to 5 percent, do you mean European allies only, or do you mean the US as well, which is currently at 3.4 percent according to NATO statistics? And if the latter is true, when do you think the US could possibly reach the goal of spending 5 percent on defense? That's number one. Number two, you said yesterday that Europeans need to take ownership of their own conventional security. So, should Europeans expect that ultimately the US would withdraw the bulk of their forces from Europe and just leave in place what is necessary for nuclear deterrence?"

***

Other people have remained with the same grim impression from the press conference - that Hegseth just crumbled when asked whether Russia would have to make any concessions, or just Ukraine. 

Below, I am translating from the Ukrainian site Dialog:

"...Washington already demanded from Kyiv to give up much of its territory, and the door of NATO is closed for Ukraine. However, somehow nobody has yet heard what concessions Kremlin will have to make.

Hegseth could not find an answer to this question, except repeat that all said above is no concession to Putin.

However, who will sent troops to Ukraine, who will pay reparations, who will stand trial for war crimes? Or for Washington, the great compromise is that Putin will take less of Ukraine than he initially planned?

The Secretary of Defense has one answer to all these questions: that each side of the conflict will have to make sacrifices in the negotiations.

However, it was just one country that invaded. If a criminal takes your home, and then offers to return only half of it, this is not a compromise but a hostage deal. When one of the sides is a victim, the peace agreement becomes capitulation."

Однако пресса напомнила главе Пентагона, что Вашингтон уже потребовал от Киева отказаться от ряда своих территорий и для Украины закрыты двери в НАТО. Однако почему-то никто не слышал, на какие уступки должен пойти сам Кремль. Даже на этот вопрос Хегсет не нашел ответа. Он только приводил свое мнение, которое заключается в том, что все выше сказанное - это не уступки Путину. Однако репортеры не унимались. Они задались вопросом, а кто отправляет войска в Украину, кто будет платить репарацию, кто предстанет перед судом за военные преступления? Или для Вашингтона большой компромисс заключается в том, что Путин возьмет меньше Украины, чем планировал изначально? На все эти вопросы глава Минобороны дал один ответ, что каждая сторона конфликта в переговорном процессе станет жертвой. Однако ответ прессы не заставил себя ждать. Полномасштабное вторжение начала только одна страна. Если преступник отбирает ваш дом, а затем предлагает вернуть только половину, то это не компромисс, а сделка заложника. Хегсет на все это ответил, что пришло время дипломатии. Но и здесь СМИ ему ответили, что дипломатия - это когда обе стороны хотят мира. "Но когда одна сторона просто хочет "паузы" для перезарядки, это не дипломатия, а подготовка к следующему вторжению", - заявила пресса. А на слова Хегсета о том, что, как говорит пресса, лучше и дальше вести войну, ему снова был дан достойный ответ. Мирное соглашение, когда одна из сторон конфликта является жертвой, - это капитуляция.

читайте подробнее на сайте "Диалог.UA": https://www.dialog.ua/world/309446_1739501481

 

Zelensky hit the nail about Putin and NATO

 From the CNN:

"Ukraine’s president has warned the days of guaranteed US support for Europe are over, as he urged the continent to band together to create a united army and foreign policy.

Volodymyr Zelensky spoke in a week when a phone call between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US counterpart Donald Trump raised fears in Kyiv that it was being frozen out of negotiations, with the White House also downplaying the prospects of Ukraine joining NATO.

“A few days ago, President Trump told me about his conversation with Putin. Not once did he mention that America needs Europe at that table. That says a lot,” Zelensky said in a robust speech at the Munich Security Conference on Saturday...

“Yesterday here in Munich, the US vice president made it clear – decades of the old relationship between Europe and America are ending. From now on, things will be different, and Europe needs to adjust to that,” Zelensky said...

Later in his speech, Zelensky accused Putin of playing a “game” by pursuing one-on-one talks with Trump and leaving Ukraine out of negotiations.

“Next Putin will try to get the US president standing on Red Square on May 9 this year, not as a respected leader, but as a prop in his own performance, we don’t need that,” he said.

The Ukrainian president added that Putin appears to be the biggest influence on NATO and reiterated that peace talks on ending the conflict could not go ahead without Kyiv’s involvement.

“Right now, the most influential member of NATO seems to be Putin – because his whims have the power to block NATO decisions,” Zelensky said."

Friday, February 14, 2025

Trump is giving Putin a new Yalta

 From Novaya Gazeta Europe:

"Phone a friend

13 February 2025, Kirill Martynov, editor-in-chief of Novaya Gazeta Europe

A single phone call between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin has drawn a symbolic line under the post-war consensus. While the West may have won two world wars, popularised the concept of universal human rights, and outlived its chief opponent on the global stage, Soviet communism, that legacy was destroyed once and for all on Wednesday in the name of “striving for peace”. 

Putin, a dictator responsible for unleashing the largest war in Europe since 1945, has now been rewarded for doing so with a phone call from the leader of the free world, despite the fact that ballistic missiles continue to rain down on Ukrainian cities and bloody battles rage unabated in eastern Ukraine and the Russian military loses 1,000 servicemen a day.

According to Trump, Putin is now seeking peace, despite the fact that the Russian dictator hasn’t made a single concession as a goodwill gesture to show his genuine interest in resolving the war. Any Putin-Trump peace deal likely to be brokered may result in peace for Trump and Putin, but it will not result in peace for Ukraine.

Trump’s message was clear. If you are sufficiently forceful and consistent in your desire to commit war crimes and redraw the world map, then your perseverance will ultimately be rewarded, and you’ll be granted a direct dialogue with the US, while your victims will be shut out and ignored, alongside Washington’s traditional allies. Other dictatorships around the world, principally China, which will have been monitoring the situation closely, will now feel far more at ease pressing ahead with their own neo-imperialist plans.

Any Putin-Trump peace deal likely to be brokered may result in peace for Trump and Putin, but it will not result in peace for Ukraine.

While detailed proposals being made in any peace negotiations have not been forthcoming, the strategy is clear. Ukraine will not receive clear security guarantees and, most importantly, will not be granted NATO membership. The great powers see no need for somebody representing Ukraine to be present as they begin carving up the country, ultimately laying the groundwork for a new world order, something that has long been Putin’s ultimate objective. For the first time in recent history, not only has the US neglected its moral obligations to an ally such as Ukraine, it has signalled its readiness to abandon the rest of Europe, leaving it to square off against Russian aggression on its own.

Putin’s accurate reading of Trump’s indifference to human rights abuses and his prioritising of personal connections between cynical businessmen over moral qualms is now paying off. Those who lost their homes or loved ones in the war, as well as anybody who fought to defend Ukraine’s right to exist for three years, will have inevitably hoped that when peace came, it would look very different. Likewise, as staunch supporters of the post-war consensus who had dared to hope that the use of brute force, the annexation of territory, and mass deportations were a thing of the past, Europeans also dared to hope for an honourable peace...

Instead of the International Criminal Court in The Hague, we are at present drifting towards a 21st century Yalta Conference where instead of being held to account for their crimes, autocrats will be invited to carve up Europe as they see fit. As such, Europe must act to guarantee Ukrainian independence in general, and its political stability in particular, and do so independently of its erstwhile US “ally”, which now effectively shares the Kremlin’s imperialist worldview.

Of course, once the initial euphoria generated by the phone call dies down — and there’s only so long Trump and Putin can wax lyrical about their two countries’ shared World War II histories — and peace negotiations finally get underway in earnest, they will inevitably hit a stumbling block, as even this US administration is unlikely to hand the Kremlin everything it wants on a plate...

Trump’s willingness to totally bypass his European allies by beginning negotiations with Moscow without preconditions, combined with the revolutionary atmosphere in the US itself, may be taken by Putin to be a sign that he can get whatever he wants: from swallowing up four annexed Ukrainian regions in addition to Crimea to a militarily hobbled Ukraine at risk of being engulfed in domestic political instability, at which point Russia may swoop in and swallow the country whole before turning its attention to the remaining European targets of its revanchist fantasies.

That the next major meeting of world leaders is due to take place at this weekend’s Munich Security Conference is an irony lost on nobody, ominously mirroring as it does the ignominious and ultimately futile attempts to appease Hitler made in 1938. The very idea that a US president could decide the fate of Europe in cahoots with a Russian dictator without Europe’s involvement risks putting the world back on a path to world war."

Trump is rewarding Russia's aggression

 From the HuffPost / Yahoo!News:

"Trump Appears Set To Reward Russia For Its Brutal Invasion Of Ukraine

S.V. Date
 

After three years of trying to invade and conquer Ukraine, and three years of failing, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin may soon see his fortunes change, thanks to Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Comments by Trump and his defense secretary, former Fox News weekend host Pete Hegseth, have roiled the Munich Security Conference, where European allies who were rallied to Ukraine’s cause by former President Joe Biden in 2022 are expressing betrayal.

“It’s appeasement. It has never worked,” Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, told reporters Thursday. “If there is an agreement made behind our backs, it simply will not work.”

Trump in a social media post Wednesday explained in detail his long conversation with Putin about Ukraine ― without first having spoken with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy or American’s European allies who, contrary to Trump’s lies, have been bearing most of the financial burden of helping Ukraine. Trump also described the invasion as a war that “happened” rather than naming Russia as the aggressor.

Later, in comments in the Oval Office, he suggested that Russia deserved to keep parts of Ukraine: “They fought for that land, and they lost a lot of soldiers.” And that Ukraine, somehow, had brought Russia’s invasion and near daily attacks against civilians on itself.

“I think they have to make peace,” he said. “That was not a good war to go into.”

Within days of Russia’s invasion in 2022, Trump described it as “genius” and “savvy” on Putin’s part. The dictator has since then regularly hit residential areas with missiles while his troops have murdered and raped noncombatants in what experts describe as war crimes.

Hegseth, meanwhile, found himself Trump’s highly unpopular mouthpiece in Europe, surrounded by military and elected leaders of countries where Putin is seen far more negatively than he is by Hegseth’s boss.

Hegseth, who had no experience managing a large enterprise prior to his nomination by Trump because of his television show, on Wednesday delivered Trump’s position on Ukraine during a visit to Brussels, the headquarters of NATO: “The United States does not believe that NATO membership for Ukraine is a realistic outcome of a negotiated settlement,” he said.

The remark drew criticism not just from allies in Europe, but also from establishment, anti-Russia Republicans in Washington. “I’d prefer we don’t give away negotiating positions before we actually get started,” said Mississippi’s Roger Wicker, the Republican chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee.

Hegseth appeared to try to walk the Russia-friendly comments back Thursday.

“Everything is on the table. In his conversations with Vladimir Putin and Zelenskyy, what he decides to allow or not allow, is at the purview of the leader of the free world ― President Trump,” he told reporters. “So I’m not going to stand at this podium and declare what President Trump will do or won’t do, what will be in or what will be out, what concessions will be made or what concessions are not made.”

Whether that can have any effect, given Trump’s continued deference to Putin, is unclear, said John Bolton, one of Trump’s first-term national security advisers who has since become a harsh critic.

“It’s pretty well fixed. It’s hard to walk it back when it’s that public, and I’m really more afraid now it’s going to get worse,” Bolton told HuffPost Thursday. “I mean, when you start from that as the going-in position, you know, who knows what comes next?”

He added the policy shift will also hurt Americans, not just Ukrainians fighting for their freedom.

“It was a bad day yesterday for Ukraine, but a bad day yesterday for the United States,” he said. “We’ve got a serious national security interest in peace and stability in Europe, and not having borders changed by unprovoked aggression, and a whole host of other things that I just don’t think Trump understands.”

In any case, Trump himself on Thursday showed no interest in walking anything back. “I thought his comments yesterday were pretty accurate,” he said of Hegseth’s Wednesday remarks.

He then went on to repeat Putin’s talking points that he was forced to invade to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO. “I don’t see any way that a country in Russia’s position could allow them to allow,” Trump told reporters. “I believe that’s why the war started. Because Biden went out and said that they could join NATO.”"

***

This is the US President and leader of the free world, ladies and gentlemen. The time when America was the land of the free and home of the brave feels like distant, half-forgotten past.

Euphoria in Moscow after Trump gave Ukraine and all Europe to Putin

 From the Daily Beast / Yahoo!News:

"Laughing Kremlin Insiders Say Trump Has Given Putin Greenlight to Expand the War

Julia Davis
 

U.S. President Donald J. Trump stunned the world by offering unprecedented concessions to Russia in its ongoing invasion of Ukraine on Wednesday—seemingly without getting anything in return. Before the formal peace talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin even started, Trump and members of his administration dismissed the idea that Ukraine could reclaim its territories that Russia currently occupies, slammed the door shut for Kyiv’s hope of NATO membership, and refused to acknowledge Ukraine as an equal member in the peace process.

While Ukrainians and their allies were left in disbelief, Russian state TV and radio stations were full of elated propagandists, who grinned ear to ear and periodically broke out into uproarious laughter.

During Wednesday’s broadcast of the state TV program 60 Minutes, host Olga Skabeeva described the events as “unthinkable” and “unimaginable.” She asked Mikhail Antonov, the network’s correspondent in Europe, “What does it all mean? Ukraine is left without NATO? Ukraine is left without money?” Antonov said that the era of American dominance had ended and surmised that Europe wouldn’t be able to compete with the volume of military assistance America used to provide. Throughout his commentary, Skabeeva smiled broadly and couldn’t hide her glee.

Co-host of 60 Minutes Evgeny Popov marveled at the fact that Trump is doing Moscow’s job by destroying Western alliances and “sawing” Europe into pieces—something that the Kremlin dreamt of doing all along.

For years, Russian state TV experts predicted that Trump’s return to the Oval Office would mean cutting off American aid to Ukraine, which would, in turn, change the odds in their favor. However, even the Kremlin’s talking heads are surprised by the speed of Trump’s gallop towards Moscow—and amazed that the leader of the mightiest nation in the world is treating war criminal Putin as his equal.

During Wednesday’s broadcast of The Evening With Vladimir Solovyov, Director General of Mosfilm Karen Shakhnazarov said that regardless of what happens in the future, Wednesday’s revelations can be described as Russia’s “big success.” He said, “The president of the United States called the president of Russia. That alone is already a major success!”

Shakhnazarov explained, “The blockade has been broken. It means a lot to all of them that the president of the United States, the mightiest nation in the West, as great as the Roman Empire, made this call. It’s as if Julius Caesar himself telephoned a barbarian, a chieftain of some German tribe.”

Solovyov rejoiced about an assertion by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth that the United States intended to disregard NATO’s Article 5 in the event Europe militarily engaged with Russia. Political scientist Sergey Mikheyev said, “In this situation, we should make it clear for the Europeans: now we can really strike Brussels, London or Paris, because we can forget about Article 5. You can forget the notion that Americans would step in on your behalf.” Solovyov chimed in to add, “I like the way you think.”

During Thursday’s radio show, Full Contact, Solovyov approvingly read commentary by the network’s correspondent in the U.S., Valentin Bogdanov, who wrote, “During negotiations, the victors are the ones dictating conditions. This is the foundation of diplomacy—and the entirety of what is being dictated should be said in the Russian language.”

Solovyov added that the telephone conversation between Trump and Putin “has caused a total collapse of Zelensky’s world,” and Europe is “insanely panicked.” He said that Trump’s approach follows the logic of Putin’s ultimatum in December 2021, when he claimed that “NATO expansion” was a core reason for the invasion. While gloating about the Trump administration repeatedly reiterating its belief that Ukraine must concede certain territories to Russia, Solovyov sternly asserted that Russia does not intend to relinquish any of its conquests.

The same view reverberated across Russia’s state media, with experts urging the military to advance quickly and take as much Ukrainian land as possible. After Putin’s negotiations with Trump, they fully anticipate being able to keep the spoils and evade the consequences."

 

 

Thursday, February 13, 2025

Bolton: They are drinking vodka in Moscow to celebrate

 From RawStory:

"'They're drinking vodka!' Expert blasts Trump's deal as a 'great day for Moscow'

By

A former national security advisor during Donald Trump's first administration chided his old boss Wednesday evening on CNN — and said the Kremlin is drinking vodka "straight from the bottle" in celebration of Trump's recent negotiations.

John Bolton, who served under Trump from 2018 to 2019 and has been involved in negotiations with Russia, joined CNN's "The Source" with anchor Kaitlan Collins.

When asked about his expectations for Trump's meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Bolton said he has no expectations anymore.

"I think we know exactly what's going to happen," he said. "President Trump has effectively surrendered to Putin before the negotiations have even begun."

Bolton said Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's comments in Belgium "constitute the terms of a settlement that could've been written in the Kremlin."

"Maybe they were written in the Kremlin and got out in propaganda channels," he surmised.

Bolton noted that the Trump administration reversed multiple U.S. foreign policy positions, including that Ukraine be returned to full sovereignty and territorial integrity.

"That's gone," he said. 

Any notion that Ukraine could join NATO also looks to be over, he said.

"Putin has scored a whole series of victories today. It's hard to encompass them all," said Bolton.

Putin wants to negotiate with Trump over Zelensky, thinking he'll get more out of it, Bolton railed, noting there's "no country" better than Russia at "pocketing" concessions.

Bolton said Trump fell victim to Putin's "flattery campaign" after the Russian president released hostage Marc Fogel and made Trump look like "the center of attention."

"Putin hasn't forgotten his lessons as a KGB agent, maneuvering an operative around," he said.

Bolton continued laying into the Trump administration for "blowing up" NATO's position on Ukraine as well as a decades-old agreement that broke up the Soviet Union.

"This is a palpable harm to American national security," he said, and leaves every other former republic in the Soviet Union "vulnerable."

To boot, China's watching closely at how the U.S. navigates Ukraine, given its own interests in Taiwan, Bolton said.

When asked if he feels the U.S.'s concessions could end the war in Ukraine, Bolton said it'll be successful for Russia, particularly given the failures of the Biden administration in arming Ukraine.

"The surrender's going to be signed by Donald Trump," he said.

Bolton concluded that former Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, confirmed Wednesday as Trump's director of national intelligence — and who has been accused of parroting Russia propaganda in the past — couldn't make Putin "happier." She'll prove "harmful" for national security and allies will think twice before passing along intelligence to the United States, he said.

"They're drinking vodka straight out of the bottle in the Kremlin tonight. It was a great day for Moscow," he said."

Trump's dilemma

 From Bloomberg:

"Trump Got Himself a Dilemma in Talking to Putin

Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Trump gives Russia veto power in NATO

From AP / Yahoo!News:

"“I don’t think it’s practical to have it, personally," Trump said... about NATO membership for Ukraine...

...Trump said... of Russia: “I think long before President Putin, they said there’s no way they’d allow that.”

”They’ve been saying that for a long time that Ukraine cannot go into NATO," Trump said. "And I’m OK with that.”"

Everyone sees Trump surrendering Ukraine to Putin

 From the New Republic / Yahoo!News:

"Pete Hegseth Gives Russia Alarming Win on Ukraine War

Hafiz Rashid
 

The Trump administration’s Ukraine policy is off to a poor start.

Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth is visiting Europe, and met with the Ukraine Defense Contact Group Wednesday in London, immediately telling U.S. allies that liberating all of Russia’s occupied Ukrainian territory “is an unrealistic objective.”

Then it got even worse, with Hegseth telling the alliance of 57 countries, including all 32 members of NATO, that “the United States does not believe that NATO membership for Ukraine is a realistic outcome of a negotiated settlement.

“Instead, any security guarantee must be backed by capable European and non-European troops,” Hegseth added.

Hegseth seems to have given up two main points to Russian President Vladimir Putin, including a key piece of leverage in future negotiations to end the war between Ukraine and Russia. One of Putin’s major complaints about Ukraine has been the prospect of the country joining NATO along with the rest of Eastern Europe...

Hegseth’s remarks suggest the new administration will prioritize better relations with Putin over defending Ukrainian sovereignty...

While campaigning for president, Trump boasted that he could end the war in Ukraine within “24 hours.” Shortly after Trump’s election, Russia shot down that idea, and even boosted its troop numbers days later. The president’s choice for special envoy to Ukraine and Russia, Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg, has in the past suggested withholding aid for Ukraine in order to force negotiations with Russia, something Trump did just days into his presidency.

In the past few weeks, Trump has said he will use tariffs as leverage against Russia and shaken down Ukraine for its natural resources in exchange for continued support. All of this doesn’t bode well for the future of Ukraine, which seeks not only to end Russian occupation of its land but also better relations with the U.S. and Europe instead of a subservient relationship with Russia. Trump seems more concerned with keeping Putin happy and getting a payoff."

Trump promises everything Putin wants before negotiations have even begun

 From CNN / Yahoo!News:

"Hegseth rules out NATO membership for Ukraine and says Europe must be responsible for country’s security

Natasha Bertrand, Clare Sebastian and Haley Britzky, CNN
 

US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth said on Wednesday that the war between Ukraine and Russia “must end,” that Kyiv joining NATO is unrealistic and that the US will no longer prioritize European and Ukrainian security as the Trump administration shifts its attention to securing the US’ own borders and deterring war with China.

In remarks before a meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, Hegseth also said that European troops should be the primary force securing a post-war Ukraine—something US troops will not be involved in, he added.

“The United States does not believe that NATO membership for Ukraine is a realistic outcome of a negotiated settlement,” Hegseth said. And he added that any security guarantees offered to Ukraine “must be backed by capable European and non-European troops.”

“To be clear, as part of any security guarantee, there will not be US troops deployed to Ukraine,” he said.

Hegseth also said that a return to Ukraine’s pre-2014 borders, before Russia invaded Crimea and eastern Ukraine, “is an unrealistic objective.”

Many NATO allies would actually agree with Hegseth that getting Crimea back from Russia is not realistic, and not even Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has insisted on that as a precursor to peace talks. One NATO official said it would have been more concerning if Hegseth had said that returning to Ukraine’s pre-2022 borders was unrealistic...

Hours after Hegseth spoke, President Donald Trump announced he’d spoken with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday morning. Trump said the two agreed to work “very closely” together and begin negotiations “immediately” on ending the war in Ukraine.

“[W]e will begin by calling President Zelensky, of Ukraine, to inform him of the conversation,” Trump said.

Trump spoke with Zelensky shortly after getting off the phone with Putin.

Later on Wednesday afternoon, Trump said he agrees with Hegseth and does not “think it’s practical” to have Ukraine join NATO.

***

In other news - the Telegraph / Yahoo!News

Ukraine may be Russian one day, says Trump as he hints at rare earth minerals deal

Kieran Kelly
 

Donald Trump has said Ukraine “may be Russian someday” as senior figures in his administration prepare to meet with Volodymyr Zelensky this week.

Speaking as talk of a peace deal ramps up, the US president also said Ukraine had agreed to give the US $500 billion worth of rare earth minerals.

“They may make a deal, they may not make a deal. They may be Russian someday, or they may not be Russian someday,” he told Fox News.

“I told them that I want the equivalent of like $500 billion worth of rare earth (minerals), and they’ve essentially agreed to do that, so at least we don’t feel stupid,” he added...

“We’re going to have all this money in [Ukraine] and I say, I want it back,” the president said, suggesting that he is looking for compensation from Kyiv for the aid given to Ukraine by the US.

After Mr Trump’s remarks, the Kremlin said a “significant part” of Ukraine already is Russian.

“The fact that a significant part of Ukraine wants to become Russia, and has already, is a fact,” said Dmitry Peskov, a Kremlin spokesman, referring to Moscow’s annexation of four Ukrainian regions in 2022..."

***

Back in 1994, the USA bullied Ukraine to give up its nuclear arsenal to its Russian arch-enemies, falsely promising to defend it in return. Then the USA systematically betrayed Ukraine. Now, Trump wants Ukraine to pay for the cruel imitation of aid his predecessor gave to it, though it was carefully calculated to achieve nothing. Someone must explain to the demented psycho occupying the White House that if Ukraine becomes Russia, US companies will get no minerals.

Saturday, January 25, 2025

Trump again blames Zelensky for having his country invaded by Russia

 From the Independent / Yahoo!News:

"Trump says Ukraine should have surrendered to Russia and blames Zelensky for war

Andrew Feinberg
 

President Donald Trump claimed in part two of a televised interview that the nearly three-year-old war between Russia and Ukraine that started when Moscow’s forces kicked off an invasion in 2022 was the fault of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s failure to preemptively capitulate before Russian troops began their attack.

Trump made the incendiary comments in a pre-taped interview with Fox News host Sean Hannity that aired Thursday on Hannity’s program.

After Hannity asked about Trump’s threat to impose tariffs as a penalty on Russia if the Ukrainian war continues much longer, Trump responded that Zelensky “has had enough” and “wants to settle” with Russian president Vladimir Putin.

Zelensky, he said, is “no angel” and “shouldn’t have allowed this war to happen,” even though it was Russia that invaded Ukraine.

“First of all, he’s fighting a much bigger entity, okay, much bigger. When he was, you know, talking so brave... Zelensky was fighting a much bigger entity, much bigger, much more powerful. He shouldn’t have done that, because we could have made a deal, and it would have been a deal that would have been, it would have been a nothing deal,” Trump claimed.

He added that had he been in Zelensky’s position he could have “made that deal so easily.” He claimed that it was the Ukrainian leader who decided on hostilities even though it was Putin who ordered the invasion of Ukraine that violated a 1994 agreement [i.e. the Budapest Memorandum - M. M.]. Russia and the United States agreed then to guarantee Kyiv’s security in exchange for Ukraine’s government giving up Soviet-era nuclear weapons that had been stored there before the 1991 breakup of the Soviet Union.

“I could have made that deal so easily. And Zelensky decided: ‘I want to fight,’” he baselessly claimed.

The president’s contention that Zelensky, with whom he has a checkered history dating back to his first four years in the White House, decided to initiate hostilities against Russia is absolutely false.

Russian forces have occupied parts of Ukrainian territory since 2014 when they seized the Crimean Peninsula on Putin’s orders.

In February 2022, Putin announced what he described as a “special military operation” against Ukraine, which he described as an illegitimate state governed by neo-Nazis. He insisted at the time that the goal of the invasion by Russian troops was to  “demilitarize and denazify” Ukraine, even though Ukraine’s government has nothing to do with Nazism, and Zelensky himself is Jewish..."

The irrational hatred to Margaret Thatcher

 From Quora:

Question: 

"Why do the far left in the UK believe Margaret Thatcher was the most disliked prime minister when she won three elections on the trot, and Keir Starmer is clearly more unpopular and unlikely to see out one term?"

Answer by

The ones I saw were mostly attended by people who were either small children or not even born when Thatcher was Prime Minister.

I had a discussion with such a person (a friend of mine) upon their return from the party in Trafalgar Square.

It went something like this….

Her: Hey Edwyn, did you go to Trafalgar Square? It was epic.

Me: No, not really one for celebrating the death of an old lady while her family is grieving.

Her: Seriously? I'm glad the witch is dead. She was a nasty bitch.

Me: Why do you say that?

Her: Look at what she did to the north.

Me: What did she do?

Her: She closed down the coal mines.

Me: Isn't that good thing? I thought you supported net zero.

Her: I do, but she destroyed communities when she closed down the mines.

Me: The Labour Governments closed down far more mines than she did.

Her: That's not the same.

Me: Why?

Her: Because Maggie didn't help the communities after she closed down the mines.

Me: Did Labour help the communities after they closed down their mines?

Her: I think so.

Me: Can you name some of the former mining towns which are thriving today as a direct result of Labour helping them after Labour closed down their coal mines?

Her: Um, um, no, I can't think of any off the top of my head.

Me: Just one?

Her: Look, what's your problem? Ffs, everyone knows Maggie Thatcher was an evil old witch.

Me: Do they?

Her: Yeah, only nasty f*cking right-wingers like Thatcher. Not cool!!!!

Me: Oh.

That's pretty much how every discussion went with my friends who partied when Thatcher died.

Absolutely clueless.

For many young Londoners, hating Thatcher is just part of the left-wing “scene"."