Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Trump wants Ukraine to give Russia a vast swath of land for nothing

Translating from the blog "Byt ili" (To be or):

"Bloomberg: The US and Russia are discussing a deal that would require Ukraine to completely leave the Donetsk and Luhansk regions in exchange for stopping the Russian offensive in the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions.

Transferring the Donetsk and Luhansk regions to Putin will give him complete control over Donbass, something he has been unable to achieve militarily in 3.5 years of fighting.

The deal does not even mention a complete ceasefire. That is, Putin will simply stop advancing in the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions, but there is nothing about stopping air strikes, for example. It is also unclear what will happen with the Sumy and Kharkiv regions, where Putin is also advancing.

The transfer of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions should "open the way to a ceasefire and the start of technical negotiations on a peace agreement."

The US is trying to secure support from Ukraine and Europe, but so far it is far from guaranteed. Zelensky risks being in a take-it-or-leave-it situation, while Europe fears that the US will simply force it to monitor the ceasefire and watch Putin rearm.

It is not a fact that Putin will agree to a trilateral meeting with Trump and Zelensky even if an agreement is reached with the United States.

***

Here is your "deal". Perhaps some details are missing, some are not accurately conveyed. If the deal is really in this form, then Ukraine and Europe will never agree to it.

Moreover, Putin does not even guarantee anything to Trump. It is simply, like, "give up Donbass, and only then we will talk about a ceasefire."

As we discussed in the post above, Putin is simply using Trump for his personal interests to achieve his goal - control over ALL of Ukraine, and if you can try to take advantage of Trump's naivety and take Donbass with little bloodshed, then why not try.

Ukraine is being offered to give up Slavyansk, Kramatorsk, Pokrovsk, Konstantinovka, Druzhkovka, Seversk, Liman in exchange for... well, for nothing, essentially. Like "Putin will be more accommodating."   

Well, Trump has repeatedly complained that Crimea was given away in 2014 without a single shot being fired. So, now he himself is ready to give away 33% of Donetsk Oblast without a single shot being fired (+1% of Luhansk Oblast, which Putin still hasn’t managed to capture entirely)?"

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