Ukrainian writer Yan Valetov in the Obozrevatel:
"The Russians have no reason to sign a peace treaty with us
November 4, 2025
What I will write is a purely personal perception of the situation.
I don't claim to offer a precise forecast. I simply want to convey a few points to my audience.
I repeat, to my audience. I'm not touching the audience of Simonyan and Pomet [Russian propagandists - M. M.] and their cronies; I'm disgusted. You can only talk to and convince those who haven't made up their minds. It's pointless to talk to fanatics, or even to true believers.
Ultimately, your inner self chooses the propaganda you believe and the side you consider yours. Dixi.
1. No ceasefire will change the essence of the human compost Putin has cultivated over 25 years of rule. The Homo Sovieticus genome has been excised of all the fragments that used to make the Sovieticus Homo. The seeds of an eternal love for a strong hand have fallen into soil richly fertilized with a longing for a "great" power. No matter how many ceasefire agreements are signed in the coming years, our neighbor is pregnant with war and resentment. It cannot change under external pressure; this only fuels revanchism. And it is incapable of change from within; this would destroy the unifying idea. The prosperous life of current citizens and future generations is too insignificant a factor to galvanize the masses.
Blood and violence—directed inward and outward—unite far more effectively.
2. It's harder to build than to take, easier to kill than to give birth, easier to rob than to raise, easier to rape than to love.
Dozens of generations raised in poverty, cold, drunkenness, slavery, and a total lack of love for everyone dictate the rules by which society lives. 25 years of "rising from our knees" has only polished the familiar picture.
A country that has easily accepted and happily assimilated prison rules, and transferred the laws of the prison zone into civilian life, cannot be any different. Those who are not comfortable with the rule of the "rat king" are forced to leave; there is no place for them on nearly one-sixth of the earth's surface. And this is understandable. A tumor either devours healthy cells, rejects them, or kills them—that's how the Russian body works. It's neither good nor bad—it is what it is. Acceptable for most.
3. Sooner or later, they will return. To us, to Eastern Europe, and then they will try to move on. It's not their fault. That's how they are made: their life is a bondage for themselves and death for others who don't want it like them. That's how they were raised and continue to be raised.
An opponent of the current Russian government was killed near the walls of the Kremlin [obvious reference to Boris Nemtsov - M. M.]. So what? The bravest brought flowers to the scene. Incidentally, these brave souls now live far from the Russian capitals. That's just how it is. It wasn't the war that drove them out. They did it themselves. Non-resistance to evil expands its borders. That's the law of life.
He was given an order – to the West... And they will go West. They will go wherever they are told. Without resistance, obediently. With no one to resist, they have bred a new breed. They tried for a long time, but they succeeded.
I'm not trying to scare anyone; I'm not claiming that tomorrow Russian tanks will roll down the roads of Poland or Germany. But I wouldn't rule out the possibility of such a development. If you recall how a full-scale invasion began, you'll understand: to kill millions and invade a foreign country, democratic procedures are unnecessary. One person makes the decision. Are you confident in his peacefulness, gentlemen? And in his sanity?
4. Russia has no borders, as a famous bard once said, Russia has only the horizon. Russia's borders appear where they get... a kick in the butt. But there are a lot of Russians, and after a while, having healed their butt, they return. This isn't a prediction, it's the experience of many centuries.
We can't kill them all; and we can't move our entire country to Canada.
They are our neighbors—that's a given. We must learn to live alongside them. Find our own recipe for surviving under pressure.
What should we remember? They'll devour a weakling, try to crush a bully, and simply buy off a fool—they have plenty of money. Be strong, don't be bullying, and don't be stupid or greedy.
Our salvation lies in balance. Surrender is a Bucha from the Syan to the Don. But fighting is an eternal battle, which we will lose arithmetically. And remember that a donkey with gold opens any gate...
5. The Russians have no reason to sign a peace with us, unless under duress. But a peace signed under duress is always short-lived. At the first opportunity, they will find a pretext to try to destroy us again.
But so far, no one has been able to exert sufficient pressure on them. They've managed to practically destroy our thermal power industry, inflict critical damage on our power grids, drive us out of the metallurgical market, the vegetable oil market, and practically destroy our mechanical engineering.
I shudder to think about the demographics, the millions temporarily displaced, the millions who have fled... And about the Ukrainians, men and women, killed and maimed in this war. But they didn't defeat us. And they militarized us instead of demilitarizing...
6. What do I want to tell you, dear readers and compatriots? We've been fighting for 11 years against a country that is vast, hateful, and hopelessly succumbed to evil. For almost four years, we've been confronting what was considered the world's third-strongest army. We've proven stronger than our enemy imagined. Yes, what can I say... we've proven stronger than we thought. If only we could stop fighting among ourselves, then we could consider ourselves invincible...
We have no one else to rely on. Only ourselves. Dixie."
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