From the Telegraph / Yahoo!News:
"NATO must push back against Putin
Over the years many NATO countries have been used to seeing Russian aircraft in their airspace or warships close to their waters. It is in the nature of the beast to provoke and swagger. Sometimes their presence is accidental but context is important. The recent incursion by Russian warplanes and drones into Polish, Romanian and now Estonian airspace is clearly no accident and cannot be separated from what is happening in Ukraine and the West’s reaction to it.
Estonia more than any other former Soviet Union satellite has cause to feel threatened by Vladimir Putin’s revanchist ambitions. Around 20 per cent of its population is ethnic Russian, living mainly in Tallinn and other big towns.
Most are Estonian citizens but the potential for Moscow to stir up nationalist tensions as they did in Ukraine are obvious. Access to the Russian exclave at Kaliningrad on the Baltic complicates matters.But it was the failure of the West in 2014 to punish Russia for the annexation of Crimea and the attempted occupation of the Donbas that encouraged Putin to invade.
The difference is that unlike Ukraine, Estonia is in Nato and therefore protected by the Article 5 provision that an attack on one is an attack on all. Poland is, too, and yet when 20 Russian drones flew across the border earlier in the month Donald Trump was prepared to dismiss it as “a mistake”.
The violation of Estonia’s airspace was even more brazen. Three Russian MIG-31 warplanes spent 12 minutes in Nato skies before being escorted away by Italian fighters.
Estonia wants consultations under Nato’s Article 4 but the West’s attention seems more fixated on virtue signalling over Gaza than focusing on what is going on in their own backyard. The West’s leaders are forever insisting that Russia will be faced down and that the lessons of Ukraine have been learned. But have they?
A former Estonian president said Nato’s reluctance to confront Moscow, perhaps by forcing the Russian planes to land, was short-sighted and the incursions would not be taken seriously until there was “a mass casualty event”.
President Trump was again reticent about criticising Moscow. “I don’t love it,” he said. “Could be big trouble.” The Kremlin is testing Nato’s resolve and so far has found it wanting. Instead of posturing about recognising states that do not exist, Europe’s leaders need to confront the threat being posed to those that do."
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